The Ukrainian wheat market is showing diverging price trends. Milling wheat is receiving support from export demand, while feed wheat remains under pressure. Market conditions vary significantly depending on grain quality, region and delivery terms. On the domestic market, the average EXW wheat price declined from around UAH 6,000/t at the end of August to UAH 5,500/t in September.
At the same time, the situation in the port segment is different. In the second half of September, purchasing prices for milling wheat at Danube ports increased by approximately $5–8/t to $170–177/t, equivalent to around UAH 8,200–8,800/t. Prices are being supported by demand for higher-quality grain as well as some strengthening of global wheat quotations amid supply disruptions in the Black Sea region.
Feed wheat, by contrast, remains under greater pressure. Domestic offers declined to around UAH 5,300–5,800/t EXW, while prices at Danube ports remained at approximately $150–155/t. One factor is the increasing supply of new-crop corn, which competes with feed wheat in the animal feed market. High transportation costs to western borders and ports are also weighing on prices.
Logistics remains one of the key factors influencing purchasing prices. Railcars at some border crossings towards Poland and Romania can wait for two to three weeks, while congestion in Constanța further increases exporters’ costs. As a result, favourable developments on international markets do not always translate into higher domestic purchasing prices. By the end of September, Ukraine’s wheat market is therefore increasingly divided: higher-quality milling wheat has stronger price support, while the feed segment is more dependent on domestic supply, corn prices and logistics costs.