Ukraine may face another increase in fuel prices in the coming weeks. According to fuel market experts, gasoline and diesel prices could rise by UAH 8–10 per liter if tensions in the global oil market persist. The expected increase is linked to geopolitical risks, potential disruptions in crude oil supplies, and higher prices for petroleum products on international markets.
Seasonal demand is adding further pressure to the domestic market. During the harvest campaign, Ukraine's agricultural sector significantly increases diesel consumption, making diesel fuel particularly vulnerable to price increases. As a result, diesel is expected to experience the strongest upward pressure among all fuel types.
Analysts note that future price movements will depend on developments in global oil markets, import costs, exchange rate fluctuations, and logistics expenses. If international conditions stabilize, price growth could slow. However, any new surge in crude oil prices would likely be reflected quickly at Ukrainian filling stations.
For the agricultural sector, higher fuel prices would increase operating costs during one of the busiest periods of the year. Rising diesel expenses could affect harvesting operations, grain transportation, and overall production costs, making fuel one of the key economic factors influencing the profitability of the 2026 harvest season.